{"created":"2025-05-07T06:48:04.632057+00:00","id":2000854,"links":{},"metadata":{"_buckets":{"deposit":"6acb974b-be4d-4827-a1fc-2aaa8ac6c5df"},"_deposit":{"created_by":29,"id":"2000854","owners":[29],"pid":{"revision_id":0,"type":"depid","value":"2000854"},"status":"published"},"_oai":{"id":"oai:ir.kagoshima-u.ac.jp:02000854","sets":["57:86"]},"author_link":["144489"],"item_5_date_6":{"attribute_name":"作成日","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_date_issued_datetime":"2025-03-07","subitem_date_issued_type":"Collected"}]},"item_5_date_granted_54":{"attribute_name":"学位授与年月日 ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_dategranted":"2025-03-25"}]},"item_5_degree_grantor_53":{"attribute_name":"学位授与機関","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_degreegrantor":[{"subitem_degreegrantor_language":"ja","subitem_degreegrantor_name":"鹿児島大学"}],"subitem_degreegrantor_identifier":[{"subitem_degreegrantor_identifier_name":"17701","subitem_degreegrantor_identifier_scheme":"kakenhi"}]}]},"item_5_degree_name_42":{"attribute_name":"学位名","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_degreename":"博士(医学)","subitem_degreename_language":"ja"},{"subitem_degreename":"Doctor of Philosophy in Medical Science","subitem_degreename_language":"en"}]},"item_5_description_17":{"attribute_name":"ファイル（説明）","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"博士論文全文, 博士論文要旨, 最終試験結果の要旨, 論文審査の要旨","subitem_description_language":"ja","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_5_description_4":{"attribute_name":"要約(Abstract)","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an arrhythmic disease. Prediction of AF development in healthy individuals is important before serious complications occur. We aimed to develop a risk prediction score for future AF using participants’ data, including electrocardiogram (ECG) measurements and information such as age and sex. We included 88,907 Japanese participants, aged 30–69 years, who were randomly assigned to derivation and validation cohorts in a ratio of 1:1. We performed multivariate logistic regression analysis and obtained the standardised beta coefficient of relevant factors and assigned scores to them. We created a score based on prognostic factors for AF to predict its occurrence after five years and applied it to validation cohorts to assess its reproducibility. The risk score ranged from 0 to 17, consisting of age, sex, PR prolongation, QT corrected for heart rate prolongation, left ventricular hypertrophy, premature atrial contraction, and left axis deviation. The area under the curve was 0.75 for the derivation cohort and 0.73 for the validation cohort. The incidence of new-onset AF reached over 2% at 10 points of the risk score in both cohorts. Thus, in this study, we showed the possibility of predicting new-onset AF using ECG findings and simple information.","subitem_description_language":"en","subitem_description_type":"Other"},{"subitem_description":"Hiroyuki Kamada, Shin Kawasoe, Takuro Kubozono, Yuichi Ninomiya, Kei Enokizono, Issei Yoshimoto, Yasuhisa Iriki, Yoshiyuki Ikeda, Masaaki Miyata, Hironori Miyahara, Koichi Tokushige & Mitsuru Ohishi\nSimple risk scoring using sinus rhythm electrocardiograms predicts the incidence of atrial fibrillation in the general population\nSci Rep 14, 9628 (2024)\nhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-60219-y","subitem_description_language":"en","subitem_description_type":"Other"},{"subitem_description":"The version of record of this article, first published in scientific reports, is available online at Publisher’s website: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-60219-y","subitem_description_language":"en","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_5_dissertation_number_55":{"attribute_name":"学位授与番号","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_dissertationnumber":"甲総研第774号"}]},"item_5_publisher_23":{"attribute_name":"公開者・出版者","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_publisher":"Springer Nature","subitem_publisher_language":"en"},{"subitem_publisher":"鹿児島大学","subitem_publisher_language":"ja"}]},"item_5_text_44":{"attribute_name":"備考","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_language":"ja","subitem_text_value":"【指導教員:大石充】"}]},"item_5_text_47":{"attribute_name":"date.appl","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_value":"【学位申請日】2024-07-03"}]},"item_5_version_type_14":{"attribute_name":"著者版フラグ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_version_resource":"http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85","subitem_version_type":"VoR"}]},"item_access_right":{"attribute_name":"アクセス権","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_access_right":"open 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population","subitem_title_language":"en"},{"subitem_title":"健康住民における洞調律心電図を用いたシンプルな心房細動発症予測リスクスコアの創出","subitem_title_language":"ja"}]},"item_type_id":"5","owner":"29","path":["86"],"pubdate":{"attribute_name":"PubDate","attribute_value":"2025-05-07"},"publish_date":"2025-05-07","publish_status":"0","recid":"2000854","relation_version_is_last":true,"title":["Simple risk scoring using sinus rhythm electrocardiograms predicts the incidence of atrial fibrillation in the general population"],"weko_creator_id":"29","weko_shared_id":-1},"updated":"2025-10-22T06:54:09.521789+00:00"}